Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.546927 1.765605 2.004110 2.283560 2.602057 2.953812 3.371887
2025-01-19 1.158102 1.442641 1.780752 2.212211 2.748440 3.393414 4.228946
2025-01-26 1.029635 1.362427 1.781964 2.349844 3.099123 4.055051 5.369391
2025-02-02 0.941662 1.309265 1.795710 2.486796 3.444504 4.726863 6.578389
2025-02-09 0.862593 1.251986 1.789402 2.585659 3.737146 5.345060 7.767387
2025-02-16 0.782398 1.180131 1.750125 2.627037 3.944495 5.854643 8.843967
2025-02-23 0.692858 1.082439 1.660278 2.580345 4.011679 6.159421 9.639582
2025-03-02 0.624244 1.007507 1.594371 2.559055 4.109075 6.510104 10.528250
2025-03-09 0.572854 0.953142 1.553054 2.569018 4.251526 6.936526 11.567652
2025-03-16 0.528249 0.904525 1.515014 2.578375 4.390313 7.364210 12.641912
2025-03-23 0.492091 0.865889 1.488738 2.602980 4.553719 7.841930 13.837545
2025-03-30 0.446830 0.806921 1.422359 2.551706 4.580553 8.088400 14.651646
2025-04-06 0.404202 0.749249 1.354223 2.493144 4.592978 8.317528 15.469532
2025-04-13 0.363216 0.690614 1.279094 2.414930 4.562692 8.468269 16.160068
2025-04-20 0.358862 0.699287 1.326039 2.565213 4.966260 9.438600 18.464463
2025-04-27 0.354154 0.706641 1.370788 2.714741 5.380837 10.463321 20.965266
2025-05-04 0.344204 0.702668 1.393343 2.822683 5.723399 11.378383 23.332620
2025-05-11 0.327603 0.683739 1.384923 2.867861 5.944331 12.073353 25.318686
2025-05-18 0.302053 0.644068 1.331697 2.816881 5.964424 12.368087 26.505991
2025-05-25 0.281690 0.613291 1.293693 2.793636 6.039063 12.778057 27.968934
2025-06-01 0.266371 0.591803 1.272893 2.804513 6.185986 13.348255 29.823162
2025-06-08 0.252198 0.571488 1.252739 2.814730 6.331737 13.926697 31.745016
2025-06-15 0.240509 0.555613 1.240719 2.841594 6.516064 14.602541 33.943283